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Speaker 2: Hey, everyone. Jeff Risen here with your daily DLP for Friday, April 3. Screwed up the, intro music on there. Sorry. Got the wrong scene in. My bad. I apologize for that. I'm not gonna start over. We're just gonna roll right through this. This is a fun one. I'll tell you a little let you know a little secret here. I'm recording this one on Thursday night. It is, as I speak, three weeks to the minute that the NFL draft kicks off in Pittsburgh, first round. And I thought in honor of that with three weeks to go, I wanna go more broad NFL draft today. This is not just a lion specific show. This is much more there's a lot that does pertain to the Lions and impacts the Lions and their picks. But this one is about the NFL draft, which kicks off again in three weeks. Three weeks from, like, right now, Fernando Mendoza will be, putting on the Raiders number one jersey, putting on the hat, hugging Roger Goodell. It'll be fun. I have 10 bold predictions three weeks out from the draft. No. That's not one of them. The bold pick would be or bold prediction would be that the Raiders are not taking Fernando Mendoza, the quarterback from Indiana, because they signed Kirk Cousins today. Kirk Cousins look. I say this as a fellow resident of Holland, Michigan. Freaking bravo, dude. He has had the last seven years of his football world playing on completely gear 100% guaranteed salaries. He has cracked the code. As Andrew Brant likes to say, he is a first ballot hall of famer in the financial wing of the hall of fame, because he has done it right. He and his agents have they have figured it all out. And, honestly, Kirko has been a big impetus in one of the reasons why more players are taking less overall money but want higher guarantees, especially the guys that aren't at the top. Monroe Saint Brown was a good example of that. But let's get into these takes because they're not gonna breed themselves. First hot take, draft take, whatever you wanna call it. There will not be any wide receiver selected in the top 10. Carnell Tate's good. Jordan Tyson, if he was healthy, would be very good. I think he'd be wide receiver one, but I don't think either of them was gonna make it in there. I think Tate is he's generally viewed by most in the league as like, hey. He's gonna be a really good number two. And he doesn't he doesn't have J Mo's speed. He doesn't have Saint Brown's ability to win across the middle. Like, he's he's not as dynamic as Jackson Smith and Jigba or even Emeka Egucca from the same program. I think that there might be a little bit of just apprehension that that pushes him out of the top 10. And Tyson, my god, with the injuries, his his a workout coming up that's gonna be very critical, and that that could alter this pick. But that's that's that's number one. Number two, Caden Procter will go in the top 10. Alabama linebacker will be drafted. It would not shock me at all if he is the first or second offensive tackle taken. Looking at you, Cleveland. This is what you do. He is a specimen who has some decent football tape. I'm am I being aspirational and hoping for this one comes true so I don't have to worry about him at 17 at the Lions? Maybe. But I do I do think that the the league views him that high, and, I will I will stick to that one. Number three, Alabama quarterback Ty Simpson will be the number 32 overall pick in the twenty twenty six NFL draft, but I'm gonna guess it's probably not the Seattle Seahawks taking him there. That pick gets traded more than it doesn't. Who's gonna take him there? I mean, the the, Cleveland version of Dave Burkett today suggested that the Browns should take him at six.

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Speaker 2: Yeah. See, whatever. I do think that he gets traded in. And the reason why you would trade up to get him, twofold. First, you don't want it to you don't wanna sleep on it. You don't want other teams to sleep on it and be like, oh, man. If I hold the thirty third pick or thirty fourth pick and somebody's gonna come up, like, I can really auction that off. You wanna be aggressive and go get it, and you also get the fifth year option on a quarterback who needs a lot of work. He doesn't have a lot of starts, and it's not gonna dog on Ty Simpson, but I I wouldn't take him there personally. But I do think that the NFL will wind up taking him there, and he is the second quarterback off the board. Number four. This one definitely pertains to the lions, kinda, maybe indirectly. Three safeties are will be drafted between ten and twenty overall. Caleb Downs from Ohio State, Dylan Tieneman from from I almost said Purdue. He did play at Purdue. From Oregon, and Emmanuel McNeil Warren from Toledo. That last one, I'm a little fuzzy on. I I think the first two are, like, guaranteed. They're they're they're it's very difficult to find any mock drafts, by the way, especially coming out of Minnesota who do not have Dylan Tieneman as the Vikings pick at 18. I'm a I'm a go with that. I'm a trust them on that. Vikings fans are you Vikings media is usually pretty good, pretty accurate about what they're they're gonna take for the most part. They all knew they all knew Addison, like, a long time ahead of time. They all knew Brian O'Neil in the second round ahead of time. It's weird how those things happen. So I'm I'm very confident on two of them. The third one so right right now, Emmanuel McNeil Warren is number 26 on the consensus big board. I just think a lot of that is because people haven't seen him. Toledo is not a high profile school. Look at that guy in person. That's that's an impressive athlete. Got some developmental work to do, but will it be the lions to take one of those three? Tell you what, man. Caleb Downs was there at 17, and they don't take them. They better get somebody really freaking good. Who we at now? Number five. Right? Yeah. Five. Utah offensive tackle Caleb Lomu does not get drafted in the first round. This is one that I will disagree with the NFL on. I think Caleb Lomu is one of the 20 best players in this draft. I would have zero problem with the Detroit Lions taking him at 17 overall. But everything I've gathered from talking at the combine, at pro days, talking just, you know, behind the scenes, I don't think the NFL views him that highly. I just don't. And, again, I think that's their mistake, but I I'm gonna go on that one. And that's that one it surprised me when I the more that I've gotten that kind of information, because I sort of have Lomu and Procter flipped in my rankings and pecking order, but the NFL is different on that. We'll we'll wind up seeing who's right on that in time. Next one. After Jeremiah Love, who's gonna go very high, there will not be another running back taken until the third round. This isn't necessarily a huge hot take. That happens a lot. Last year there was a big gap between, Ashton Jonty and I think it was Omari and Hampton was next, but then a a bunch came off and they came in the second. I think Jadarian Price's teammate will be the next running back off the board, but it could be. There's there's a lot of late love for for Emma Johnson, but I don't think he's gonna go that high. But, I think it'll be very early in the third round where we see the next running back just because there's not a lot of differentiation between the guys and, quite frankly, there's not a huge demand. Go up go play with some of the the simulators, you know, whether it's, you know, PFSN, whatever. And look at how many teams have running back as a top three need. I can think of two. Like, there's there's just it's just not there. And and, like, Houston is listed as one. Well, they don't need that anymore because it hasn't been updated since they traded for David Montgomery. They like Woody Marks a lot as their number two. They you know, I don't think they're gonna spend another, you know, day two pick before that. And so that's where you gotta kinda keep keep keep up with these things. So I think I think, honestly, of all of these, this is probably, like, the second or third most likely to come true. Some of these will. Some of them probably won't at all, and you can have fun with it later. It's good. There will be one trade in the top 10, and it will be somebody trading up to draft Georgia offensive tackle Monroe Freeling.

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Speaker 2: Every guest we've had on this show, there's Chris Derpasa who was on, on Thursday's show. He did a fantastic job, by the way. Lot of great response for Chris. We're gonna get him on again after the draft, with draft grade book. He's formally he was at CBS and was their draft guy for a very long time there, before venturing out on his own. He is sort of doing in the draft world what Justin Rogers did with the Lions world. So if you like Chris, please support him. He's a very good dude. I've known him for a very long time. He puts the work in. Even though we disagree on a lot of stuff, I definitely respect Chris and thank him for coming on. That that one this one would also make Ross Brown, my colleague here, happy because he thinks Monroe Freeling is a fantastic prospect, but it will make him sad because he wants Munro Freeling at 17 as do, I think, a lot of you watching. And I just don't think that's realistic, unfortunately, because I like him. I don't want him that high, but I I certainly wouldn't be upset if the lion took him at 17 either. We'll get to the Lions last. The next two are related. They're tethered together to bring in a Coheed lyric. Love the new Coheed album. It's so good. It's my fellow fellow children of the fence out there. Two players who are gonna be drafted lower than their consensus big board rankings. And as I am I I look these up on the Detroit Lions podcast, consensus big board, which updates automatically. It scrapes every day. It's one of the very few good uses of AI, in in my opinion. It does a very good job of it. Right now, Hakeem Mesador is the number 20 overall player on the consensus board. I don't think he's getting drafted anywhere close to 20. I think he falls into the thirties, probably even the forties Between the age, the lack of being a dynamic athlete, the fact that he he had a very up and down career, there's a lot of thought in NFL circles that they wanna see him without Ruben Bane. And if you're taking a guy in the first round, he probably shouldn't be your complimentary rusher. And that's that is straight from somebody that I talked to after a pro day, and I'm gonna I'm gonna roll with that. And the other one is Emmanuel Pregnon, and he gets a lot of love from well, there was a I forget who put it out, but it built like Blastoise. I do actually know what that is. But he is the number 39 overall player in the consensus boards. I'm not sure he's gonna go in the second round. Like, he could be sitting into the third round. Some of it is his age. He is he is an older rookie. He had six years of college football. And, oh, by the way, only one of those was looked anything like NFL caliber. Now he played very well at Oregon. He had he had moments at USC, but I will go back to the USC game at Michigan, the game I was at, and he got abused in that game. And I think that's the general book on him is that, you know, much like Mesador as an older prospect, he benefits from being more physically mature and, you know, going against guys who might not be that way. And I do think that the NFL sees him that way, so I don't think he's gonna get drafted that highly. Whether that's fair or right or not, we'll find out. But that's that's that's the difference between evaluation and projection. They don't always meet in the middle. They don't always sync up. Go back to when I had to project Zach Wilson as the number two overall pick because I knew the Jets were gonna take him there, and he was not a top 150 player for me. Let's go to the flip side of this, the the inverse side of the coin. Two players who are going to be drafted considerably higher than their current consensus rankings. Talked about one of these guys before. That's Jalen Kilgore, who still gets pegged as a cornerback in a lot of the simulators. And in fact, in in our consensus big board, he is listed as a cornerback. That'll change. It's changing. And he's the number 88 overall player. I'm gonna tell you, I know I know one team that has a top fifties he's in their top 50. I think he's going second round, not 88, which is, you know, towards the end of the third round. And he's playing safety because he's now he can he can do I don't wanna say the Brian Branch thing, but he can do that overhang safety slot weapon type deal. I think he's gonna do well at it. And more to the point, I think the NFL likes him more than they're letting on. There's honestly, it wouldn't shock me if he was drafted before, his more celebrated teammate, Brandon Cisse, who gets a lot of first round love. And I don't I would actually consider him to be well, you know what? That's not fair because he's a really good athlete, and people draft athletes at cornerback whether they can play or not. Bob Quinn drafted nonathletes who couldn't play. Good times. Alright. We made it to the end. Saved the best for last. Right? At number 17 overall, the Detroit Lions will draft either yeah. I'm hedging it because I don't know. I'd love to tell you I know, but I don't know. I don't think they know yet. Anybody who sells you anything different, they're lying. They don't know either. But I have a pretty good educated guess here, and this is my educated guess as of it is currently, just before 08:00 on April 2. You're seeing this obviously on the third, but, Clemson edge TJ Parker or Auburn edge, Eldrick Falk will be the pick at seventeen, presuming the Lions stay at seventeen. Have an upcoming episode, which will go over what they might be able to get and what history says they can get and what will happen if they do trade from seventeen. That will probably be Sunday's episode. But, right now, you know, hypothetical gun to my head, I think they're taking either Parker or Falk. I I do think they're going edge. I think that they've and, again, we we've talked a lot about this. You can watch the previous episodes where we talked about, DJ Wonnum and his addition, Levi Anserike and what he means, just the way that that Brad and Dan have spoken in general about the offensive line, about Larry Borom, and about the I also do think, and I've been led to believe this by informed sources, that the lions have spent a lot of time on the later round, more developmental type offensive tackles. It doesn't mean they're gonna take them. It doesn't mean that, you know, it doesn't mean that they're, you know, eschewing tackle at the top to take a guy like Travis Burke, Markel Bell, Demetrius Kranhover, Jude Bowery, but those guys are certainly in play later. And I do think that they I don't wanna say that Brad hears the cacophony of, you know, give me a freaking edge opposite Hutch, but he knows his football team, and he understands that. I'll I'll I'll give you the bonus one. I'll pull them all up here because I wrote these out. I'll give you the bonus one for 17. They're more likely to take a cornerback than an offensive tackle at 17. It's got to be a certain one, but I'm I'm gonna go on that limb right now. I might change my mind by Sunday. Could be. Who knows? I might hear something different. I might get feedback from this from somebody who watches it who might know something, and that's how things work. I what we'll just we'll we'll table that for another time. That's gonna be the show for today. We're not gonna do a prospect of the day because we talked about these draft. Thank you for watching. Thank you for joining in. Thank you for liking and subscribing, whether it's on YouTube or Spotify or Apple Music, whatever you wanna do. Please please continue to support the DLP. We love having you here. Talk about it in the Patreon Slack. You can break these things down. Till then, I'm out. Jeff Risen signing off. Be good to one another, please.