Bish & Brown: Detroit Lions vs. New York Jets Preview

Detroit’s path to a get-right win over the New York Jets is clear, run heavy tempo to control the game, targeted help for rookie tackle Blake Miller, and simpler, cleaner coverage on defense. Scott Bischoff emphasized running it early, and Russell Brown stressed forcing New York into uncomfortable offense by sustaining drives.

Can Jared Goff control tempo against the Jets?

Yes, with a run-first script that drains clock and sets up play action. Scott Bischoff said the Lions should “run the ball real heavy in the first quarter” and even warned, “you don’t wanna score too fast.” That keeps the defense fresh and lets Lions quarterback Jared Goff work rhythm throws to Lions wide receiver Amon-Ra St. Brown and Lions tight end Sam LaPorta.

Russell Brown cited Sam Hoppin’s clock data, noting Detroit’s clock-drain rate is 3.6 percent, 30th in the NFL, while the Jets sit at 21.6 percent, third-highest. Expect more carries for Lions running back Jahmyr Gibbs to increase Detroit’s control of pace and to avoid long stretches of defensive exposure.

How should Detroit handle Blake Miller vs David Bailey?

Mix the picture, help selectively, and run at him. With Christian Mahogany expected back and Blake Miller “Bachie,” while Ben Bartch deals with a concerning foot issue, Detroit can steady the left side with either Larry Borom or Mills Frazier if needed. Bischoff outlined the tackle plan, vary the pass set, use some jump sets, get hands on David Bailey, and at times attach a tight end so Miller can set short and protect his inside shoulder.

Running at the rookie edge rusher disrupts his rush plan and, as Brown noted, alters his path to the quarterback when protection slides or tight ends chip. That helps Jared Goff find Lions playmakers like Amon-Ra St. Brown, Jameson Williams, and Sam LaPorta downfield off play action.

Will Detroit fix the coverage busts and misalignment?

They must, with cleaner communication, better alignment, and fewer ineffective blitzes. Brown and Bischoff detailed the defensive shift toward more zone, but the back end suffered from misalignments and timing issues. The Lions have blitzed with cover zero at 9.9 percent, second only to Baltimore, while playing cover one man 7.9 percent and cover two man 1 percent. Their zone mix has been cover two 11 percent, cover three 47 percent, and cover four 10 percent.

Injuries stretch the secondary, with Avonte Maddox done for the year after foot surgery and Thomas Harper’s status unclear, so development from Chris Rakestraw, Keith Abney, and Dan Jackson matters. Up front, linebacker Jack Campbell, edge rusher Aidan Hutchinson, and defensive tackle Alim McNeill need pressure that finishes. As Russell Brown warned, this is a get-right spot, not a celebration, and failing here would force hard staff conversations.

Which Jets tendencies should Detroit attack?

Expect light boxes and heavy nickel, then punish them. Brown noted the Jets’ light-box rate is 62.6 percent, second in the NFL, with nickel at 77.8 percent, fifth-highest. They play more cover two than anyone at 35.2 percent and add cover six at 12.7 percent. That invites runs and middle-of-field throws to Amon-Ra St. Brown and Sam LaPorta.

Personnel-wise, Detroit’s 12 and 13 usage sits at 30.4 percent, 19th, while New York is at 41.2 percent, 10th-highest. Detroit can toggle heavier groups to help the edges and still create play-action shots for Jared Goff when safeties widen. Force the Jets to abandon comfort and chase points, and the game tilts to Ford Field’s side.

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Chris
Chris founded The Detroit Lions Podcast in 2015. A Detroit native and former radio presenter, he hosts the show and the live post-game broadcasts. He lives in Florida.