Lions 2026 schedule release reaction

The 2026 NFL schedule release event revealed an interesting, somewhat controversial slate of games for the Detroit Lions. Rampant early leaks produced some strong online reactions with fans and analysts trying to blow the wind the strongest. 

After seeing the 17-game schedule and processing it a little, I’m remaining very optimistic about the Lions chances to win the NFC North and multiple playoff games. They’ll have to earn it late in the year, however. 

The Lions schedule release video eschewed creative bells and whistles for a more business-like approach.

 

Here’s what stands out from the Lions schedule, in no particular order…

Five “home” games in six weeks

Coming out of the Week 6 bye (more on that in a bit), the Lions will be the designated home team five times in six weeks. That includes the Week 10 contest versus the Patriots in Munich, a game in which the Lions are the host. We will see how much home-field advantage that Amon-Ra St. Brown’s fellow Germans provide for the Lions, but I do expect a pretty strong Detroit representation at Allianz Stadium.

Even negating the international game, the Lions still draw four games in Ford Field in five weeks, beginning with the first NFC North contest in Week 7 against Green Bay. That’s a chance at a significant midseason run. The only interruption is a Week 9 trip to Miami, a game that might be the easiest matchup on the entire schedule–on paper, anyway…

The road less traveled hits late

A consequence of all those home games in October and November is that the Lions will finish as road warriors. Three of the final four games are divisional matchups on the road. Week 15 in Minnesota kicks off a critical road run, with only a Week 16 home date with the New York Giants mixed into the fray. 

Finishing with outdoor dates in Chicago and Green Bay in winter is not a favorable draw for a dome-home team like Detroit. Perhaps the only real silver lining is that the Lions offense is seemingly better-suited to playing in inclement weather than the Packers are, with their more downfield-oriented passing attack and finesse/motion run game. Then again, the Lions have a new offensive coordinator and at least two new starting offensive linemen, so we will see.

From a fan attendance standpoint, the final two games are about as bad of a draw as Detroit can get. Fans in Chicago are probably also grumbling, and it’s justifiable, too. The Bears’ final four games are a potentially brutal month:

At Buffalo on a Saturday

Home for Green Bay on Christmas Day (Friday)

Home for Detroit

At Minnesota

 

Early-ish bye

Detroit gets the bye in Week 6 this year, coming off a road trip to Arizona in Week 5. Early byes tend to create a longer grind as the season progresses.

Having said that, I actually favor an early-ish bye week. I like the pause and reset in mid-October, giving the coaching staff a chance to look at what’s working and what isn’t before things can get out of control. With a second-year DC in Kelvin Sheppard and a new OC in Drew Petzing, I like the earlier break. Week 7 or 8 would have been better, though, in looking at how the Lions schedule ends. 

I really like drawing Green Bay in Ford Field coming out of the bye, too. The Packers are coming to Detroit after a Sunday Night Football showdown with Dallas in Week 6, cutting their rest and prep time a little, as well. In fact, that trip to Detroit is sandwiched in between a Sunday Night game (Dallas) and a Thursday Night game (Carolina) for Green Bay. That’s a condensed, intense three weeks for the Packers. That’s also around the time the Packers could realistically expect Micah Parsons to return from his ACL injury, and that means lineup tumult, too. 

For what it’s worth, the Vikings also have a Week 6 bye. 

Trap games?

Detroit has been pretty successful at avoiding the cliched “trap” games on the schedule. You know, the dates with an allegedly inferior opponent that are surrounded by more significant, bigger-name games. 

Two potential trap games stand out for Detroit. The first comes early with a Week 3 home date against old friend Aaron Glenn and the New York Jets. The Lions play at Buffalo in the Bills’ new stadium opener on Thursday Night Football in Week 2, a game that will likely be the only pre-bye contest in which Dan Campbell’s Lions aren’t favored to win. Week 4 at Carolina doesn’t look to be an easy one, either. The Panthers are the reigning NFC South champs and have a decent young roster all gelling together–if you’re a believer in what Carolina is building, and I (kinda) am. The Jets are not expected to be a playoff contender, but strange things can happen. 

The other trap that mustn’t be sprung is the other game against a New York team, the home date with the Giants in Week 16. It’s a Monday Night Football game, the team’s final home game in the regular season and sandwiched between trips to Minnesota (Sunday Night) and Chicago. I happen to think the Giants are going to be better than the Vikings in 2026, but that’s speculative boobery as we look at things in May. 

Most likely loss

At Buffalo, Week 2. Thursday night on the road with a good (on paper) Bills team opening what looks to be a fantastic new stadium. They have a new coach and some burning questions about their new-look pass rush and a talented but young secondary that could very well be mentored by C.J. Gardner-Johnson, for better and for worse. Getting an outdoor game in Buffalo in September beats the freezing potential of later in the year, too. But that’s still a tough game for the Lions. 

Most likely win

I lean toward the Jets in Week 3, even with the tacit acknowledgment that it’s a potential trap game (see above). But if the Lions are relatively healthy, I think the Week 8 home date with the Vikings is even more of a winnable one. In my eyes, no NFC team fell harder as a whole than Minnesota this offseason. It would be wonderful if the Lions were part of that proving ground in Week 8. 

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