Lions vs Bills: Last-minute thoughts and final score prediction – Detroit Lions Podcast

Can Detroit run on Buffalo’s front without Blake Miller and Christian Mahogany?

Yes, the run game is there to attack, but losing two starters changes the approach. Detroit Lions right tackle Blake Miller and Detroit Lions left guard Christian Mahogany being out put more on Detroit Lions tackle Larry Borom and on the scheme.

The Bills show 3-4 defensive looks that Detroit has historically attacked with the run. When Buffalo goes nickel and effectively pulls the nose tackle, leaving two lighter ends inside, the middle opens. That is prime to hit with downhill and duo concepts. As Jeff Risdon noted, Larry Borom is better in pass protection than in run blocking, which complicates straight-ahead volume runs. Expect some early cleat checks on the new grass, but weather is not a factor and mid-September in Buffalo is preferable to December.

How should Jared Goff attack Buffalo’s secondary?

Quarterback Jared Goff, Detroit Lions, must control tempo and use play action to stress linebackers and safeties. There is space behind the second level and on backside throws.

Buffalo’s secondary deserves respect, but it is beatable when you manipulate their underneath defenders. That is where Detroit Lions wide receiver Isaac TeSlaa can steal targets on in breakers and glance routes, and where the No. 2 tight end can be a real weapon. As Jeff Risdon noted, Detroit Lions tight end Brock Wright fits the void-hunting role, especially off heavy looks that sell run and release late. The goal is to marry the run and play action so Jared Goff can attack windows without taking unnecessary risks.

What must the defense do to keep this from becoming a track meet?

Take the ball away and finish the chances. The mandate is to catch the interceptions and recover the fumbles.

Houston forced four fumbles and recovered one against Buffalo, a missed opportunity that Detroit must avoid. Head coach Dan Campbell, Detroit Lions, will hammer assignment discipline and opportunism on the short week. Rookie head coach Joe Brady, Buffalo Bills, is familiar to Detroit’s staff from New Orleans days, so there is no mystery in tendencies. These are two of the best offenses and not two of the best defenses, so the game trends toward a shootout unless Detroit converts takeaway chances and tightens red zone spacing.

What is the betting outlook and Jeff Risdon’s final score prediction?

Jeff Risdon picks Buffalo 34-27. He initially wrote 31-27, then moved to a full touchdown margin.

The spread shifted from 3.5 to between 5.5 and 6 at DraftKings on Thursday, with late money leaning Bills. New stadium energy and the condensed prep window favor Buffalo, and offensive line attrition raises Detroit’s margin for error. As Jeff Risdon emphasized, the Lions can score if they control tempo and hit play action, but the decisive swing is finishing takeaways. Big picture, he still views Detroit as an 11 to 13 win team, making health and cleaner execution the priorities after tonight.

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Chris
Chris founded The Detroit Lions Podcast in 2015. A Detroit native and former radio presenter, he hosts the show and the live post-game broadcasts. He lives in Florida.