Lions 1st-round draft prospects: Rules of Thumb

It’s getting to be crunch time for the Detroit Lions as the 2026 NFL Draft approaches quickly. While it’s still a mystery what GM Brad Holmes and the Lions will do with the No. 17 overall pick, there is a pretty well-defined pool of primary candidates for the selection. 

Each of the most viable, realistic candidates has his clear selling points. Alas, they also have drawbacks–enough that they project to be available when Detroit goes on the clock and for Holmes & Co. to look in another direction. 

Drawing upon a format I’ve used for years at RealGM, it’s time to apply the quick Rules of Thumb to each of six of the top candidates to be the Lions’ first-round pick. They are listed in alphabetical order. 

Keldric Faulk, EDGE, Auburn

Thumbs up: Faulk embodies everything the Lions have sought in the starting EDGE opposite Aidan Hutchinson for years–big, powerful, smart, passionate, positionally versatile “crush the can” rusher. He’s got high upside for a 20-year-old and a demonstrated high talent floor already. If Marcus Davenport and John Cominsky had a healthy baby together, it would be Faulk. 

Thumbs down: While his usage at Auburn did him few favors, Faulk has paltry sack numbers and lacks quick QB pressure production. He doesn’t appear twitchy or sudden enough to win consistently around the outside edge. 

Thumbs twiddling: Faulk’s draft slotting is all over the map, with credible final mock draft guesses anywhere from 8 to 28 overall. 

Monroe Freeling, OT, Georgia

Thumbs up: Freeling offers outstanding (best in class?) upside as a left tackle with optimal length and athletic traits for Detroit to replace Taylor Decker. He is incredibly quick in all directions and can throw his weight around some in the run game. Freeling’s game showed noted improvement from August to December. 

Thumbs down: He made just 17 starts at Georgia, and it shows in his lapses in balance and upright stance, as well as Freeling’s overall functional strength. Of all the players listed here, Freeling is the least likely to positively impact the Lions in 2026. 

Thumbs twiddling: A month ago, it appeared Freeling being available at 17 was a pipe dream. Now, it seems at least 50/50 that he’ll be on the board for Detroit. 

Jermod McCoy, CB, Tennessee

Thumbs up: His one year at Tennessee showed McCoy to be a perfect schematic fit for Detroit, with high-end performance at exactly what the Lions look for in an outside cornerback. There is definite athletic potential for even more greatness as a true “island” corner.

Thumbs down: He has one year of great college tape and only two total years of college football, a career stymied by a serious knee injury that still has him unavailable to fully work out over 15 months later. A true one-year wonder, McCoy has missed over a year of much-needed developmental time. 

Thumbs twiddling: McCoy has been off the board by No. 17 more often than he is available, but it’s a fairly mixed bag in the final mock drafts that have been published already. 

Blake Miller, OT, Clemson

Thumbs up: NFL-ready starting right tackle with years of experience in a pro-style offense, showing significant technical growth in his final season. His sky-high RAS score indicates more athletic upside, and Miller is a clear Grit Fit on and off the field for Detroit. 

Thumbs down: Miller is still stiffer in gait and more methodical with his hands than ideal, even after showing improvement in 2025 at both. He’s a right-tackle only who could very well top out as a slightly above-average but reliable starter, a la one-time Lions first-rounder Riley Reiff.  

Thumbs twiddling: Nearly all mock drafts indicate Miller projects to be available for the Lions at No. 17 overall. 

T.J. Parker, EDGE, Clemson

Thumbs up: Parker is a strong, fiercely competitive power-based pass rusher with a polished barrage of moves and strong technical baseline. His dominant 2023 and 2024 seasons made Parker the top projected defensive player in this draft class entering the CFB season, and the high-end athletic traits and youthful promise are still there. So is the outstanding run defense. 

Thumbs down: His production and effectiveness as a pass rusher declined in 2025. Parker didn’t look as dynamic athletically, notably with his first step off the snap. 

Thumbs twiddling: Parker is almost universally projected to come off the board in the 21-35 overall range, so he should be there if the Lions truly covet him. 

Kadyn Proctor, OT, Alabama

Thumbs up: Proctor is a surprisingly athletic behemoth of a left tackle, moving freakishly well for someone weighing over 350 pounds. There are many reps where Proctor dominated his blocking marks in both the run and pass game, and he’s still young with developmental upside to pair with his rare athleticism. 

Thumbs down: For nearly every dominant rep on film, there are examples of Proctor’s passive pass sets and inconsistent technique leading to bad losses. Those issues have not shown real improvement in three years at Alabama. He’s battled weight issues in offseasons, as well as a shoulder surgery, that slowed his early-season performances, too. 

Thumbs twiddling: Proctor is projected to be available at 17 more often than not, though several recent mocks have him off the board in the top 15. 

More From The Detroit Lions Podcast